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If you ever get the feeling that we’re going around in circles, you’re right, but the cosmic holding pattern we’re stuck in is probably a little bigger than what you had in mind.
Scientists have confirmed a longstanding hypothesis that Earth’s orbit is warped by the gravitational pull of Jupiter and Venus in an epic cycle that repeats regularly every 405,000 years.
“It’s an astonishing result because this long cycle, which had been predicted from planetary motions through about 50 million years ago, has been confirmed through at least 215 million years ago,” says geomagnetics researcher Dennis V. Kent from Rutgers University.
“Scientists can now link changes in the climate, environment, dinosaurs, mammals, and fossils around the world to this 405,000-year cycle in a very precise way.”
For decades researchers have studied this phenomenon – an example of what’s called a Milankovitch cycle – which makes our virtually circular orbit around the Sun shift to one that’s about 5 percent elliptical, before resuming its circular trajectory.
But, before now, evidence for how far back it extended into Earth and the Solar System’s history was disputed.
Thanks to ancient rocks drilled from deep under Arizona’s Petrified Forest National Park, though, we’re getting a clearer picture.
In 2013, Kent and his team began drilling rock cores in excess of 1,500 feet long (457 metres) from a butte in the park, analysing them for radioisotopes that indicated their age and evidence of reversals in the polarity of the Earth’s magnetic field.
When they compared them with sediment samples from the Newark basin – a former prehistoric lake that spanned most of New Jersey – they found that the 405,000-year cycle is the most regular astronomical pattern linked to the Earth’s annual turn around the Sun, which dates as far back as 215 million years ago, to the Triassic period.
“There are other, shorter, orbital cycles, but when you look into the past, it’s very difficult to know which one you’re dealing with at any one time, because they change over time,” says Kent, who is also affiliated with Columbia University.
“The beauty of this one is that it stands alone. It doesn’t change. All the other ones move over it.”
By confirming that this steady, metronome-like 405,000-year cycle dates back to a time before even the reign of the dinosaurs, the findings have implications to innumerable fields of research – potentially affecting how we interpret fossils and trace the evolution of life forms, to understanding more about planetary movements.
But perhaps the most topical area of science this could help us understand is pinning down how Jupiter and Venus – incredibly distant though they are –affect Earth’s climate, and how it inevitably undergoes heating and cooling changes over vast timeframes.
Not that anybody should be pointing to this study and insisting our planet’s current climate woes are due to anything but human activity, the authors point out, as the multi-millennial pace of this Milankovitch cycle’s effects aren’t something we could notice in our short lifetimes.
“It’s pretty far down on the list of so many other things that can affect climate on times scales that matter to us,” says Kent.
“On the other hand, all the CO2 we’re pouring into the air right now is the obvious big enchilada. That’s having an effect we can measure right now. The planetary cycle is a little more subtle.”
The findings are reported in PNAS.