Environment

Hurricane “Lane” rapidly strengthening, expected to pass south of Hawaii next week


Hurricane “Lane,” the 12th named storm of the 2018 Pacific typhoon season is rapidly strengthening and this phase is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. Lane is expected to become a major hurricane today and pass south of Hawaii on August 21/22. 

At 15:00 UTC, its center was located about 2 760 km (1 715 miles) WSW of the southern tip of Baja California and 2 555 km (1 590 miles) ESE of Hilo, Hawaii. Its maximum sustained winds were 155 km/h (100 mph), making it a Category 2 hurricane. 

The system is moving W at 26 km/h (16 mph) and is expected to cross into the Central Pacific basin on August 18.

“Lane appears poised for further rapid strengthening during the next 24 hours,” NHC forecaster Dave Roberts noted 15:00 UTC today. 

“Impressive outflow in all quadrants, warm sea surface temperatures, and the absence dry air intrusion all point to this scenario. The peak intensity based on the hurricane models and the statistical guidance is forecast to be within the next 24 – 36 hours.

“Afterward, the thermodynamic environment looks a little less conducive and the large-scale models, as well as the statistical intensity guidance, agree that increasing westerly vertical shear will induce a slow weakening trend.”

Featured image credit: Hurricane “Lane” at 18:30 UTC on August 17, 2018. Credit: UW-CIMSS


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